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2012-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.2% 12.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“

Actual: Little Rock Trojans -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Speedy Smith * 33 3-5 1-1 2-3 3 4 0 0 6 9 5 -
Raheem Appleby * 32 6-14 2-8 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 17 4 -
Michale Kyser * 24 2-5 0-0 4-6 10 0 1 0 0 8 14 -
Cordarius Johnson * 24 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 5 -1 -
Chris Anderson * 9 1-4 1-2 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Brandon Gibson 22 1-5 0-1 4-5 8 2 0 2 1 6 12 -
K. McNeail 17 1-5 1-4 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
J.L. Lewis 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
Alex Hamilton 13 5-8 1-2 3-4 1 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
Jaron Johnson 10 0-3 0-2 4-6 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Isaiah Massey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Gillon * 34 5-10 1-4 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 15 8 -
Leroy Isler * 32 3-7 1-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 5 11 0 -
Will Neighbour * 30 3-6 1-1 0-1 5 3 2 1 4 7 8 -
Taggart Lockhart * 21 4-6 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Michael Javes * 20 2-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
Josh Hagins 19 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 8 8 -
James White 17 3-6 0-1 1-4 5 0 1 2 3 7 6 -
Ben Dillard 12 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Gus Leeper 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Stetson Billings 6 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Kemy Osse 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter