Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stern * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Reid Koenen | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Swopshire * | 40 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tre Demps | 14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike Turner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter