Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stern * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Wright * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| W. Davis * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Staff * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | - |
| V. Jones * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Koenen | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Hawkins | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Dorsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Hinton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Douglas | 0 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| D. Diamant | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| K. Hackney | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Roser | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Brookshire | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Swopshire * | 40 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Olah * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Abrahamson * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Demps | 14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Turner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Lumpkin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter