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2012-12-15

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 3.9% 96.1% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (59-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Xu * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 10 10 -
C. Dickerson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 11 19 -
C. Doolin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 9 8 -
T. Derksen * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 10 18 -
D. Parker * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
M. Tollefsen 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
C. Adams 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Holmes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
F. Rogers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Christiansen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Story * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 3 7 12 -
D. Burton * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 1 2 14 23 -
J. Burris * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 3 11 17 -
K. Panzer * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 7 16 -
C. Huff * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 9 -
J. Evans, Jr. 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 9 14 -
D. Elliott 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 0 3 -
M. Coleman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 6 -
P. Nyeko 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -

* = starter