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2012-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.2% 94.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Spradling * 34 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 5 -
A. Rodriguez * 30 4-11 3-7 3-3 0 3 2 0 2 14 6 -
R. McGruder * 24 1-9 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 5 4 -3 -
T. Gipson * 19 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 -
N. Williams * 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Diaz 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
S. Southwell 19 3-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 7 6 -
D.J. Johnson 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 4 5 -
M. Irving 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Henriquez 10 0-3 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -4 -
O. Lawrence 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
M. Orris 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Meyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Schultz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 34 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 9 9 -
G. Bell Jr. * 28 3-6 1-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 11 10 -
E. Harris * 23 2-6 0-1 6-6 7 3 2 1 2 10 15 -
K. Olynyk * 19 10-13 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 20 7 -
G. Edi * 14 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
S. Dower 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 6 5 -
D. Stockton 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 0 2 -
M. Hart 17 0-1 0-1 2-4 5 1 1 0 0 2 8 -
P. Karnowski 14 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 2 5 -1 -
K. Dranginis 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Barham 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter