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2012-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.1 โœ“ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denaell McDaniel * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 11 15 -
Shawntez Patterson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 13 15 -
Stephawn Brown * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 6 13 -
Phillip Crawford * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 22 20 -
Josh Freelove * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jamel Waters 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 3 0 3 3 13 -
Bobby Brown 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
Jonathan Jefferson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 1 7 -
Ryan Watts 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
Luther Page 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Taylor * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 0 4 2 14 -
Ned Cox * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 9 14 -
Colt Ryan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 4 24 31 -
Egidijus Mockevicius * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Lewis Jones * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
Jordan Jahr 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 9 15 -
D.J. Balentine 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Ryan Sawvell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 11 19 -
Jaylon Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 13 -
Adam Wing 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter