Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Siva * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Chane Behanan * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Russ Smith * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 12-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Zach Price * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Luke Hancock | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Ware | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 34 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Stephens * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Geron Johnson | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tarik Black | 22 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Barton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stan Simpson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter