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2012-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +38 (97-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeAntwan Luckett * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 20 27 -
Anthony Nieves * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 15 14 -
Josh Nicholas * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 1 4 13 -
Anthony Evans * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 0 4 -
Ian Francis * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
Tyrel Hunt 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 7 12 13 -
Michael Starks 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 3 6 -
Jamaal Hester 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Terrance Birdie 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Stephane Raquil 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Marius Myles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hunter Mickelson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 14 -
Marshawn Powell * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 2 2 18 28 -
B.J. Young * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 5 9 -
Mardracus Wade * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Rashad Madden * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 7 7 -
Jacorey Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 7 15 -
Michael Qualls 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 3 1 0 10 25 -
DeQuavious Wagner 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 3 0 0 7 14 -
Coty Clarke 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 14 18 -
Rickey Scott 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 5 12 -
Kikko Haydar 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 3 9 -
Fred Gulley 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 0 5 12 -
Anthlon Bell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
Davion Spivey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter