Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bennett * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| C. Eversley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| C. O'Brien * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. U'u | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Awich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| K. Odister | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Silvestri | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burris * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Story * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| D. Burton * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Huff * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| D. Elliott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Fall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Crook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter