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2012-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 73.6% 26.4% -
Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bennett * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 10 13 -
D. Royer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 13 17 -
C. Eversley * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 7 12 -
J. Johnson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 3 0 1 2 14 -
C. O'Brien * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
R. Morgan 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 5 12 -
D. U'u 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
J. Awich 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 5 12 -
K. Odister 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 3 1 -
Z. Gordon 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
A. Silvestri 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burris * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 13 20 -
M. Story * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 19 24 -
D. Burton * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 3 4 10 -
C. Huff * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 3 6 -
K. Panzer * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 9 12 -
J. Evans, Jr. 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 0 1 8 21 -
D. Elliott 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 0 6 15 -
M. Coleman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 3 7 -
P. Nyeko 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
K. Fuetsch 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
C. Fall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Crook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter