Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (69-56). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennett * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Drake U'u | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joel Awich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Burris * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Malik Story * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Deonte Burton * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Cole Huff * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Panzer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Evans, Jr. | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Devonte Elliott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Marqueze Coleman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Nyeko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keith Fuetsch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Fall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brice Crook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter