Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -12 (42-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Mullins | 37 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Brian Barbour | 37 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Cory Osetkowski | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alex Rosenberg | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| John Daniels | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Mark Cisco | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maodo Lo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Cohen | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Steve Frankoski | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Brad Gilson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof | 37 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Lumpkins | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Munoz | 35 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bersch | 29 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Carroll | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jesse Reed | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter