Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +11 (88-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeromie Hill * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Kannon Burrage * | 33 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | +13.7 |
| Jordan Sims * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Michael Hale III * | 30 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Larry Wilkins * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Edrico McGregor | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Hyjii Thomas | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -13.3 |
| A.J. Price | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Tyler Wood | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Tank Mayberry | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Greene * | 28 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Torrey Craig * | 28 | 9-15 | 2-7 | 11-14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 20 | -12.6 |
| Ricardo Glenn * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Mario Blessing * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -11.5 |
| Rob Elam * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Adrian Rodgers | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +10.7 |
| Babatunde Olumuyiwa | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Fred Miller | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Jodd Maxey | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +3.1 |
* = starter