Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +26 (80-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Garnica * | 38 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tate Unruh * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Tim Huskisson * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Barden * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 21 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| James Davis Jr. | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Greg Tucker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryce Douvier | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Baker * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cleanthony Early * | 21 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Carl Hall * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Demetric Williams * | 19 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Malcolm Armstead * | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tekele Cotton | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chadrack Lufile | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jake White | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Wiggins | 18 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
* = starter