Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -16 (67-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey McKnight * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +6.5 |
| Holden Greiner * | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -0.4 |
| Gabe Knutson * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Anthony D'Orazio * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.7 |
| CJ McCollum | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 24 | +8.8 |
| Conroy Baltimore | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -2.0 |
| Stefan Cvrkalj | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Corey Schaefer | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Justin Goldsborough | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Devon Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.5 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umar Shannon * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 12 | -3.4 |
| Stephon Mosley * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Kam Ritter * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Greg Brown * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Ronnie Drinnon * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Dominique Major | 28 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +11.6 |
| Stephon Whyatt | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Anthony Ervin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Ben Millaud-Meunier | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +2.5 |
| Tony Peters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter