Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -3 (85-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles | 32 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Jarvis Garner | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Robert Crawford | 29 | 12-15 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 31 | +3.3 |
| DeShone McClure | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.3 |
| Ryan Williams | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Daouda Berete | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Harks | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.1 |
| Oliver Wells | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Tirrell Brown | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
| Zach Padgett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Lenell Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone | 39 | 14-21 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 17 | -13.1 |
| Nino Johnson | 37 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 7-15 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 27 | -3.2 |
| Lucas Nutt | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -10.8 |
| Corey Wilford | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Marland Smith | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Nick Niemczyk | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -11.8 |
| A.J. Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jacob Tolbert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Jared White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter