Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 (65-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murphy Holloway * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nick Williams * | 35 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Marshall Henderson * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Reginald Buckner * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jarvis Summers * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| LaDarius White | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Aaron Jones | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Millinghaus | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Martavious Newby | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Perez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marcos Knight * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Raymond Cintron * | 27 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Massey * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Jones * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| JT Sulton | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tweety Knight | 16 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jacquez Rozier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Torin Walker | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Neiko Hunter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| James Gallman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter