Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +5 (77-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Mbamalu * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -15.2 |
| Steven Wronkoski * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -16.3 |
| Elfrid Payton * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 17 | -8.4 |
| Shawn Long * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 22 | -15.9 |
| Elridge Moore * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -11.1 |
| Alan-Michael Thompson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9.9 |
| Kasey Shepherd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -6.5 |
| Matthew Moss | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Josh Soto | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontae Cannon * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | +6.6 |
| Kevin Hardy * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Desharick Guidry * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | +12.2 |
| Jeremie Mitchell * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +8.3 |
| Austin Lewis * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Adrian Fields | 28 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +14.9 |
| Jordan Wells | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +5.2 |
| Pete Kpan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.8 |
* = starter