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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Gaines * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 6 27 31 -
Kevin Harden * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
Isaiah McCray * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 6 5 -
Luis Jacobo * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 8 14 -
M. Hines 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 6 14 -
Joseph Edwards 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 2 -
Joe Reed 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Michael Kibiloski 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 10 20 -
Pierre Bland 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 15 16 -
Jordan Clarke * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 9 19 -
Chris Hines * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 19 24 -
Seth VanDeest * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 3 1 7 19 -
Richard Carter 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 5 0 4 6 18 -
Micah Mason 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 8 10 -
Jeremy Jeffers 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Gary Ricks 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
Joey King 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Daddy Ugbede 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter