Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -6.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mills | 0 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Pickrel | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Bell | 0 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Schiffauer | 0 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 3-17 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hudson | 0 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. MacKay | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Sant | 0 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Hoover | 0 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Deane | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter