Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.4% | 99.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.0% | 100.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.0% | 100.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +32 (92-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyree Jones * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | -9.3 |
| Troy Snyder * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Ronald Spencer * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Louis Bell * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Ishaq Pitt * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -11.8 |
| Donald Williams II | 23 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Travis Trim | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Olatunji Kosile | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Dominique Cowell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaQuon Parker * | 24 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Cashmere Wright * | 24 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | +7.2 |
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 24 | 10-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Justin Jackson * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2.7 |
| Cheikh Mbodj * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Shaq Thomas | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Titus Rubles | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | +3.7 |
| David Nyarsuk | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -4.5 |
| Jermaine Sanders | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Kelvin Gaines | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Alex Eppensteiner | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.2 |
* = starter