Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Page * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Freelove * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joshua Mason * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Denaell McDaniel | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarke Rosenberg * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Quinton Pippen * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Matt Ross * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Markus Starks | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nate Duhon | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Greg Tucker | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Corey Gray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter