Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | +11.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +16 (65-49). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Anderson * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DaVon Haynes * | 38 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Lazabian Jackson * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tevin Hammond * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Daniel Broughton | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Jones | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Warren Boyd | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trent Whiting | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 9-12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Green * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Max Yon | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cam Michael | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Moer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter