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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Texas Southern Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Penn * 43 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 10 1 0 4 12 11 -
Omar Strong * 41 10-21 8-16 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 29 12 -
Fred Sturdivant * 34 2-7 0-1 2-6 8 0 2 1 2 6 8 -
Madarious Gibbs * 26 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Aaron Clayborn 27 5-11 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Dexter Ellington 24 2-3 1-2 0-1 6 2 1 0 0 5 11 -
Lawrence Johnson-Danner 21 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
Kyrie Sutton 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TaShawn Thomas * 37 10-19 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 3 1 23 16 -
Danuel House * 35 4-8 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 9 8 -
J.J. Thompson * 35 2-2 0-0 6-8 4 6 1 0 3 10 16 -
Joe Young * 33 7-12 2-6 5-5 3 3 0 0 2 21 13 -
Mikhail McLean * 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 2 5 -
Jherrod Stiggers 17 3-4 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
J.J. Richardson 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 2 3 -
Tione Womack 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Leon Gibson 7 1-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Brandon Morris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Valentine Izundu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
LeRon Barnes 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter