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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 91.2% 8.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.2% 15.8% - โœ“
Margin 90.8% 9.2% -12.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrun Hilliard * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 7 12 -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 12 12 -
James Bell * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 7 16 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 10 18 -
Maurice Sutton * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 9 10 -
Ash Yacoubou 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 13 20 -
JayVaughn Pinkston 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
Daniel Ochefu 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 0 8 -
Tony Chennault 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 16 18 -
Steve Rennard * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 12 19 -
Jamal Lewis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 0 2 -
Fran Dougherty * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 6 -
Henry Brooks * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Greg Louis 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
Darien Nelson-Henry 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 7 11 -
Camryn Crocker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Dau Jok 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 -
Tony Hicks 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Patrick Lucas-Perry 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Simeon Esprit 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cameron Gunter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter