Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +8 (78-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Toth * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -12.1 |
| Dylan Cox * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8.8 |
| Ella Ellis * | 22 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 9-11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Larry Toomey * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -3.7 |
| Jordan Springer * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Kyle Wilson | 23 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Josh Herbeck | 22 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Andrew Stire | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Maxwell Lenox | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Kevin Ferguson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Matt Gramling | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Tanner Plomb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Marshall * | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | +21.6 |
| Ross Travis * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +5.8 |
| D.J. Newbill * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | +13.8 |
| Brandon Taylor * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +13.7 |
| Sasa Borovnjak * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +16.3 |
| Nick Colella | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +7.9 |
| Jonathan Graham | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Donovon Jack | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Akosa Maduegbunam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Kevin Montminy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter