Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys +20 (62-42). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Kirk * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Downing * | 32 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Dorrian Williams | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Brown * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Le'Bryan Nash * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kamari Murphy * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Philip Jurick * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Mike Cobbins | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Phil Forte III | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kirby Gardner | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter