Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +8 (64-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Morgan * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Justin Sears * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sam Martin * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Javier Duren * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Townsend * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Armani Cotton | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Michael Grace | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Greg Kelley | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jesse Pritchard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Sherrod | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Bartlett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 38 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ferg Myrick * | 36 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Patrick Konan * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Chris Pelcher * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jordon Bronner * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Scott Morris | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Matagrano | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chris Orozco | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Logan Mortenson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeron Trotman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Okeke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter