Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +23 (78-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Wilson * | 37 | 5-19 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Rashawn Rembert * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Hunter Harris * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -12.3 |
| Mario Stramaglia * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -6 | -8.3 |
| Kinard Gadsden-Gilliard * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -14.5 |
| John Walton III | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +11.6 |
| Yunio Barrueta | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Todd Halvorsen | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +18.6 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Strickland * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +9.2 |
| J. McAdoo * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Marcus Paige * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Joel James * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 18 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +9.3 |
| P.J. Hairston | 19 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Leslie McDonald | 16 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Brice Johnson | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +4.2 |
| J.P. Tokoto | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Desmond Hubert | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Luke Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Jackson Simmons | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.3 |
| James Manor | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Frank Tanner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Denzel Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Wade Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
* = starter