Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +20 (77-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyonell Gaines * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -8.0 |
| John Hart * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Donovan Gibbs * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -10.3 |
| Sean Esposito * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Greg Rice * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Jordan Shanklin | 30 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Ian Chiles | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | -8.8 |
| P.J. Hubert | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.5 |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Fant * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | +11.6 |
| Jamal Crook * | 37 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | +9.3 |
| Brandon Harris * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +8.2 |
| Teeng Akol * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -4.9 |
| Eddie Alcantara * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Kevin Kaspar | 34 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Stephon Drane | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Percy Blade | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +1.3 |
| O'Karo Akamune | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
* = starter