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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.7% 19.3% - โœ“
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roosevelt Jones * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 10 15 -
Khyle Marshall * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 7 15 -
Rotnei Clarke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 13 15 -
Andrew Smith * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 0 1 24 36 -
Alex Barlow * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 2 8 -
Kellen Dunham 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 11 18 -
Erik Fromm 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 5 13 -
Chase Stigall 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Kameron Woods 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Hearn * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 13 20 -
Jared Swopshire * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 1 4 3 11 -
Dave Sobolewski * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 21 19 -
Drew Crawford * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 6 15 -
Alex Olah * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 9 -
Mike Turner 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
Tre Demps 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 15 15 -
Kale Abrahamson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter