Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Georgetown Hoyas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +6 (46-40). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 15 | +7.3 |
| Marcus Damas * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Mike Burwell * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Jerome Hairston * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +5.7 |
| Bilal Dixon * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Kris Walden | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Barrington Alston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Whittington * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -8.1 |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Nate Lubick * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -6.3 |
| Markel Starks * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | -1.5 |
| Mikael Hopkins * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Jabril Trawick | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.2 |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +1.5 |
* = starter