Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +5 (62-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garrity * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -3.8 |
| Joe Eberhard * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -9.4 |
| Mikh McKinney * | 30 | 1-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | -1.6 |
| John Dickson * | 25 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Joey Quigley * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Konner Veteto | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -9.5 |
| Cody Dempsey | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.3 |
| Jordan Salley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Jackson Carbajal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Dreon Barlett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Kendell Groom | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Cunningham * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 16 | +11.3 |
| D.J. Brown * | 33 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | +3.9 |
| James Kinney * | 28 | 8-22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Alex Brown * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +0.1 |
| Chris Jones * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Louis Garrett | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Stephon Smith | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -12.9 |
| LaVanne Pennington | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Xavier Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.7 |
| Aalim Moor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter