Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +34 (87-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leroy Isler * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | -22.1 |
| John Gillon * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | -19.4 |
| Will Neighbour * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -16.4 |
| James White * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -2 | -23.8 |
| Michael Javes * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -14.7 |
| Taggart Lockhart | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -12.1 |
| Ben Dillard | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -17.5 |
| Stetson Billings | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Kemy Osse | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Ted Crass | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +21.9 |
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 27 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | +31.5 |
| JaQuon Parker * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +21.3 |
| Cashmere Wright * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +22.6 |
| Cheikh Mbodj * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | +11.9 |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +3.5 |
| David Nyarsuk | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +10.8 |
| Titus Rubles | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.5 |
| Jermaine Sanders | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Shaq Thomas | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Kelvin Gaines | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Alex Eppensteiner | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.5 |
* = starter