🐻⬇️🏀

Yale Bulldogs 64
@
Bryant Bulldogs 62
2012-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Bryant Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Margin 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.2% 62.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - ✗

Actual: Bryant Bulldogs -2 (62-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Javier Duren * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 12 -6.4
Matt Townsend * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 4 12 +2.5
Austin Morgan * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 6 7 +0.9
Sam Martin * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 +1.9
Justin Sears * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 20 31 -5.0
Michael Grace 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 4 0 0 6 13 -0.5
Jeremiah Kreisberg 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 14 17 +5.9
Armani Cotton 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 +3.8
Greg Kelley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 +1.3
Jesse Pritchard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.9

Bryant Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Dyami Starks * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 22 22 +2.6
Frankie Dobbs * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 6 13 -2.0
Alex Francis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 7 19 19 +7.0
Corey Maynard * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 6 13 +6.5
Vlad Kondratyev * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 7 -8.1
Joe O'Shea 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 9 16 -1.2
Shane McLaughlin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -6.0
Andrew Scocca 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Claybrin McMath 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter