Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -19 (66-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worth Smith * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +22.2 |
| Thurgood Wynn * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +22.2 |
| Tilman Dunbar * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | +12.9 |
| James Loupos * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +14.6 |
| Brandon Venturini * | 19 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Kendall Knorr | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +17.0 |
| Will Kelly | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Brennan Wyatt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.3 |
| Phil Guglielmo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jared Smoot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kevin Alter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Jerome Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Earl McLaurin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nicholas * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -13.8 |
| Dion Nesmith * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -20.0 |
| Jesse Steele * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -18.8 |
| Ed Waite * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -19.3 |
| Stephen Spinella * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -14.2 |
| Marcus Ware | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -17.4 |
| Christian White | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Gary Cox | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Khalil Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Jalen Palm | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Tyrone O'Garro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Max DiLeo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.8 |
* = starter