Model Predictions
| Model | UAB Blazers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +20 (84-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Swing * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rod Rucker * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Robert Williams * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Terence Jones * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Fahro Alihodzic * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Preston Purifoy | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Taylor | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Isiah Jones | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Scotland-Williamson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jekore Tyler | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Karl Moton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Knight * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Massey * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Jones * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Raymond Cintron * | 24 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Jason Jones * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Neiko Hunter | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tweety Knight | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jacquez Rozier | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| James Gallman | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| JT Sulton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Gibson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Torin Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zane Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter