Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -12 (45-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Houpt * | 38 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Ceola Clark III * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +4.7 |
| Adam Link * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | -2.9 |
| Don McAvoy III * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Terell Parks * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | +7.7 |
| Remy Roberts-Burnett | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
| Michael Ochereobia | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Jason Hawthorne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Jordan Foster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Piper * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +7.4 |
| Austin Akers * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -6.3 |
| Taylor Jones * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Sherman Blanford * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Morris Woods * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | +4.3 |
| Malcolm Herron | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Alex Austin | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -9.1 |
| Cameron Harvey | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -11.1 |
| Alex Lubsey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Keenen Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
* = starter