Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +1 (87-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Taylor * | 29 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Justin Childs * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Bobby Jones * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -12.6 |
| Omari Minor * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Tobias Dowdell | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | -3.3 |
| Mike Liabo | 21 | 5-14 | 1-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Khristian Taylor | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Dee Oldham | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +5.9 |
| BJ McLaughlin | 15 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| DeMarc Richardson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Pierre Mopo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Terence Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 7-13 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Jarvis Garner * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Jordan Harks * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Robert Crawford * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +3.8 |
| DeShone McClure * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -8.5 |
| Ryan Williams | 22 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Oliver Wells | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Daouda Berete | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Tirrell Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Zach Padgett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Lenell Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.8 |
* = starter