Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +26 (94-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinten Rollins * | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -9.6 |
| Jon Harris * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Allen Roberts * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -13.7 |
| Reginald Johnson Jr. * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Will Felder * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -15.0 |
| Geovonie McKnight | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Josh Sewell | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Vince Legarza | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Will Sullivan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Drew McGhee | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Jared Tadlock | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Joe Mezher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Taylor * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | +17.2 |
| Colt Ryan * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | +12.8 |
| Ned Cox * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +6.4 |
| Lewis Jones * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +16.1 |
| D.J. Balentine | 25 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +12.3 |
| Adam Wing | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +12.1 |
| Jaylon Moore | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Ryan Sawvell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Nelson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Jordan Jahr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Rokas Cesnulevicius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
* = starter