Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Khari Price | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devon Scott | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Randolph * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 34 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Devonta Pollard | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Retin Obasohan | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter