Model Predictions
| Model | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -9 (77-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Glover * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | +0.0 |
| Warren Niles * | 35 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Damen Bell-Holter * | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | -5.7 |
| D.J. Jackson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Steven Roundtree * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Mikey Manghum | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Korey Billbury | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Brandon Conley | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Jorden Kaufman | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Staff * | 32 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Corey Stern * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +10.2 |
| Vonn Jones * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Joel Wright * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Wesley Davis * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -4.3 |
| Phil Hawkins | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Ray Dorsey | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Reid Koenen | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Basil Brown | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Nick Hinton | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Deonte' Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
* = starter