Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts -4 (64-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 38 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 32 | - |
| Jerome Hairston * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Damas * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mike Burwell * | 23 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Bilal Dixon * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kris Walden | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Barrington Alston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Apfeld * | 33 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Sandro Carissimo * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brian Voelkel * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Candon Rusin * | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ethan O'Day * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Blue | 23 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Clancy Rugg | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Kilpatrick | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Elbaum | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter