Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +25 (70-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashawn Rembert * | 37 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Lester Wilson * | 37 | 7-23 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 5 | -12.6 |
| John Walton III * | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10.9 |
| Hunter Harris * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Yunio Barrueta * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -16.2 |
| Kinard Gadsden-Gilliard | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -8.4 |
| Mario Stramaglia | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Todd Halvorsen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +13.9 |
| Andrey Semenov * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +18.4 |
| Andre Nation * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Rayshawn Goins * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Alioune Diouf * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +12.6 |
| A.J. Davis | 24 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Charles Cooke | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Enoch Hood | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Taylor Bessick | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Arman Marks | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Gene Swindle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter