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South Florida Bulls 49
@
Oklahoma State Cowboys 61
2012-12-05

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Margin 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.9% 77.1% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys +12 (61-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Toarlyn Fitzpatrick * 39 3-12 3-6 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 9 5 -
Anthony Collins * 35 4-9 0-1 4-4 2 4 4 0 1 12 12 -
Victor Rudd * 34 5-12 1-5 3-4 6 3 1 0 3 14 9 -
Kore White * 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
Shaun Noriega * 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Jawanza Poland 29 3-7 0-3 3-5 3 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
Martino Brock 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Omogbehin 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Zach LeDay 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Musa Abdul-Aleem 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 39 4-11 2-6 5-6 6 5 4 2 4 15 17 -
Markel Brown * 35 5-13 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
Kamari Murphy * 28 4-8 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 8 10 -
Philip Jurick * 24 3-6 0-0 1-2 14 0 0 2 0 7 17 -
Le'Bryan Nash * 22 1-4 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
Phil Forte III 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Mike Cobbins 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 6 1 -
Kirby Gardner 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter