Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gavrilovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Fontan * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Dedmon * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| E. Wise * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J.T. Terrell * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Bryan | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Fuller | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| O. Oraby | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Allen | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Stewart | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirk * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chad Adams * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter