Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -3 (84-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonis Burbage * | 40 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -6.0 |
| Kyle Vinales * | 40 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 15 | -3.7 |
| Malcolm McMillan * | 38 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Matt Hunter * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Joe Efese * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Brandon Peel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Terrell Allen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Andrew Hurd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 39 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -2.4 |
| Chris Pelcher * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +3.0 |
| Jordon Bronner * | 34 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Ferg Myrick * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Patrick Konan * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Logan Mortenson | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Jeron Trotman | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Scott Morris | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Chris Matagrano | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.3 |
* = starter