Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas City Roos | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks -3 (70-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Chatmon * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +6.1 |
| Nate Rogers * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Thomas Staton * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Nelson Kirksey * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Estan Tyler * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Kirk Korver | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Trinity Hall | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Mason Wedel | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Caleb Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| John Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad Reid | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Webb * | 37 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 0-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +1.0 |
| Josh Schuler * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -9.8 |
| Aaron Anderson * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Brandon Brekke * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Mitch Wilmer * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Doug Archer | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Lenny Antwi | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Jordan Allard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Alonzo Traylor | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Shane Benton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter