Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +4 (67-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 19 | +18.6 |
| Alzee Williams * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +13.8 |
| Roger Franklin * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | -0.2 |
| Tony Mitchell * | 28 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -7.2 |
| Jacob Holmen * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.2 |
| Jordan Williams | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +15.3 |
| Keith Coleman | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| P.J. Hardwick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Clarke Overlander | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Justin Patton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordair Jett * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -7.1 |
| Mike McCall Jr. * | 34 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Dwayne Evans * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Cory Remekun * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Rob Loe * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Cody Ellis | 28 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | -6.4 |
| Jake Barnett | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -3.9 |
| John Manning | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.3 |
* = starter