Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1 (58-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Early * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Desmar Jackson * | 29 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Beane * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tiel Daniels * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Josh Swan | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Bryer | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Colby Long | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Crook * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Price * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| George Fant * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Harris * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Teeng Akol * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Kaspar | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| O'Karo Akamune | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kene Anyigbo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephon Drane | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aleksej Rostov | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Percy Blade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter