Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -9 (64-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kinney * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | +2.6 |
| D.J. Brown * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +19.0 |
| Chris Cunningham * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +16.6 |
| Alex Brown * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Chris Jones * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Stephon Smith | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +15.4 |
| Louis Garrett | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Xavier Jones | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.3 |
| LaVanne Pennington | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| David Andoh | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 33 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -19.1 |
| Corey Hawkins * | 32 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -8.1 |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -15.3 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Josh Ritchart | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Tyler Les | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Spencer Clayton | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Darius Graham | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | +3.2 |
| Olivier-Paul Betu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter