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2012-12-04

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 โœ“ (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harrison * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 14 19 -
J. Sampson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 22 24 -
P. Greene IV * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
A. Garrett * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 7 18 -
F. Balamou * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
C. Obekpa 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 2 2 12 -
S. Pointer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
C. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bourgault 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Lipscomb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Sealy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Ndiaye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Doolin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 14 2 2 2 18 36 -
De'End Parker * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 21 26 -
Cole Dickerson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 6 16 -
Tim Derksen * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 10 16 -
Tao Xu * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Mark Tollefsen 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 11 16 -
Avry Holmes 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 9 9 -
Frank Rogers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Chris Adams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter